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MARKET FACTOR DICTIONARY

Complete index of all 60+ fundamental, on-chain, and technical market factors actively monitored by the Possibo AI Engine.

Demand | Priority: High
Spot Bitcoin ETF Flows
Daily update. Large inflows = institutional buy signal.
Momentum | Priority: High
BTCUSD Price Action Momentum
Consolidated trend signal across 5m, 1h, and 1D timeframes.
Market | Priority: High
CME Bitcoin Futures (COT)
Extreme net longs = reversal risk. Extreme shorts = squeeze.
Supply | Priority: Medium
Bitcoin Hashrate & Difficulty
Miner capitulation or hash rate all-time highs signal network strength.
Supply | Priority: Medium
Exchange Net Outflows
Whales moving coins to cold storage = Supply Shock.
Market | Priority: Medium
Perp Funding Rates & OI
High positive = Overleveraged Longs. High negative = Squeeze risk.
Demand | Priority: Medium
Stablecoin Market Cap Growth
Tether/USDC printing injects fresh buying power.
Sentiment | Priority: Medium
Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D)
Rising BTC.D = Capital flight to safety. Falling = Altseason.
Market | Priority: Medium
Deribit Options Expiry
Max pain pinning theory. Volatility near expiry.
Sentiment | Priority: Medium
Retail Crypto FOMO
Coinbase app ranking #1 signals near-term tops.
Sentiment | Priority: Low
Institutional Crypto Allocation
Hedge funds/pensions entering the space.
Demand | Priority: Low
Corporate Treasury Buying
MicroStrategy and corporate buying act as a price floor.
Sentiment | Priority: Medium
Bitcoin Halving & Seasonality
4-year halving cycle dynamics and 'Uptober' patterns.
Sentiment | Priority: Low
Altcoin Market Cap (TOTAL2)
Overall crypto market health excluding BTC.
Commodities | Priority: Medium
Ethereum (ETH) Correlation
ETH/BTC ratio signals altcoin risk-on appetite.
Geopolitics | Priority: Low
Mt. Gox / Govt Seizures
US Government or Mt. Gox wallets moving coins causes panic.
Technical | Priority: High
Key Levels (Support/Resistance)
$50k, $100k levels act as self-fulfilling targets.
Technical | Priority: High
50-Day & 200-Day MA
Golden Cross = Buy signal. Death Cross = Sell signal.
Market | Priority: Medium
RSI Overbought/Oversold
RSI > 80 = Extreme extended. RSI < 30 = Buy zone.
Market | Priority: Medium
Bollinger Band Breakouts
Squeeze = Volatility coming. Breach = Momentum signal.
Market | Priority: Medium
Liquidity / Stop Hunts
Institutional clusters below key lows. Snap reversals.
Global | Priority: Critical
GLOBAL BREAKING INTEL
Real-time stream of market-moving shocks, geopolitical events, and breaking headlines.
Global | Priority: Critical
MAJOR NEWS CALENDAR (USD)
Scheduled high-impact USD economic events (Forex Factory style).
Macro | Priority: High
US CPI Inflation Report
Lower CPI = Crypto Rallies / Higher CPI = Crypto Down
Macro | Priority: High
Fed Rate Decisions (FOMC)
Rate Hikes = Crypto Down / Dovish Pivot = Crypto Up
Macro | Priority: High
US Dollar Index (DXY)
Inverse correlation. DXY Up = Bitcoin Down.
Sentiment | Priority: High
VIX (Fear Index) Level
VIX > 30 = risk-off panic (BTC down). VIX cooling = BTC up.
Macro | Priority: High
US Treasury Yields (10Y/2Y)
Real yields UP = Crypto Down. real yields DOWN = Crypto UP.
Macro | Priority: High
US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP)
Strong jobs = Crypto Down / Weak jobs = Crypto Up.
Macro | Priority: High
FOMC Meeting Minutes
Reveals hawkish/dovish tone. Dissected for 'patient' tone.
Macro | Priority: High
Fed Chair Speeches
Dovish tone can push Bitcoin up sharply.
Macro | Priority: High
PCE Deflator (Fed Gauge)
Fed's actual target metric. Inflation watch.
Inflation | Priority: High
Real Interest Rates (TIPS Yields)
Fall in real yields = Strong Crypto Rally.
Inflation | Priority: High
Global Inflation Expectations
10Y Breakeven rates expansion = Bitcoin bid as hedge.
Inflation | Priority: High
Stagflation Risk
High CPI + Low GDP = Mixed for BTC depending on Fed reaction.
Inflation | Priority: Medium
M2 Money Supply / QE
Global liquidity expansion is the primary driver of Bitcoin cycles.
Macro | Priority: Medium
US GDP Data
Weak GDP = Recession fears = Easing = Crypto Positive.
Macro | Priority: Medium
US Unemployment Rate
Rising unemployment signals Fed easing = Crypto Bull.
Macro | Priority: Medium
US Retail Sales
Weak retail = slowing economy = Easing Positive.
Macro | Priority: Medium
US ISM Manufacturing/Services PMI
Below 50 = Contraction = Easing bid.
Macro | Priority: Medium
US Producer Price Index (PPI)
Upstream inflation monitor. Future CPI predictor.
Macro | Priority: Medium
US Federal Budget Deficit
Debt downgrades and debt spirals are highly bullish for BTC.
Central Banks | Priority: Medium
ECB Policy / EUR/USD
Affects global liquidity. Dovish ECB = Euro liquidity up.
Central Banks | Priority: Medium
BOJ Yield Curve Control
YCC abandonment causes global liquidity ripples.
Inflation | Priority: High
De-Dollarization (BRICS/Oil)
BRICS moving away from USD is a structural driver for alternative assets like BTC.
Sentiment | Priority: Medium
S&P 500 Performance
High correlation during market crashes.
Geopolitics | Priority: High
Wars & Military Conflicts
Risk-off panic usually drops BTC initially, followed by safe-haven bid.
Geopolitics | Priority: High
Middle East Tensions
Geopolitical escalation drives liquidity flight.
Geopolitics | Priority: High
Russia-Ukraine War
Sanctions and nuclear rhetoric impact global liquidity.
Geopolitics | Priority: High
US-China Escalation
Taiwan/Trade/Sanctions trigger strong volatility.
Geopolitics | Priority: High
Black Swan / Terrorist Events
Immediate market panic and liquidity crunch.
Geopolitics | Priority: High
Nuclear Threat Rhetoric
Credible threats move all risk assets.
Geopolitics | Priority: High
Global Pandemics / Health Crises
COVID-19 sent BTC to record highs due to stimulus.
Geopolitics | Priority: High
Banking / Financial Crises
Bank failures (SVB) drive Bitcoin as ultimate store of value.
Inflation | Priority: Medium
EM Currency Crises
Lira/Peso collapse boosts local Bitcoin demand.
Trump Risk | Priority: High
Trump / Truth Social Posts
Direct market moves. Crypto endorsements = BTC Up.
Trump Risk | Priority: Medium
Trump Executive Orders
Pro-crypto executive orders create immediate bullish sentiment.
Trump Risk | Priority: High
Trump Fed Independence Attacks
Demands for rate cuts weakens USD / boosts Crypto.
Trump Risk | Priority: Medium
US Presidential Election Cycle
Pro-crypto candidates create structural volatility.
Trump Risk | Priority: High
Trump Tariff Announcements
Stagflation fears influence monetary policy.
Trump Risk | Priority: Medium
Trump Trade Deal Announcements
Tris/truces pressure macro. Gaps on breakdowns.
Trump Risk | Priority: Medium
Trump Legal / Political Uncertainty
Political instability impacts traditional markets.
Commodities | Priority: Medium
Oil Price (WTI/Brent) Spikes
Oil > $100 = Inflation signal. Middle East ripples.
Macro | Priority: Low
IMF / World Bank Outlook
Downgrades = macro fear. Pre-priced usually.
Tool | Priority: High
BTCUSD Risk/Lot Calculator
Interactive tool to calculate position sizing based on risk and SL.